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Topography and soil fertility are both crucial factors to consider as potential yield drivers.

With hundreds of thousands of acres of corn in New York, it's crucial to support farmers’ efforts to optimize crop production. Yield varies in crop fields for many reasons, including soil fertility and topography. In a recent study, Cornell CALS’ Nutrient Management Spear Program (NMSP) researchers sought to discover the leading drivers of yield variability by studying 17 New York corn fields across six farms.

“We are fortunate to have long-standing collaborations with farmers and farm consultants who entrusted us with their yield monitor data, motivating us to dig deeper beyond identifying yield variability to explaining what’s causing it,” said Manuel Marcaida III, NMSP data analyst. “The additional layer of data from intense gridded soil sampling was valuable to make this research possible.”

Yield variability is commonly recognized by farmers who know their fields well. Recent technological advances have allowed us to capture this variation through yield monitors which record the yield in real-time, linking the data to GPS location. The NMSP precision agriculture team cleaned these data for analysis and, for fields that had at least three years of yield data, the team also developed yield stability zone maps that describe whether a portion of a field has had high or low yield, and whether that has been consistent or variable over the years.

The team performed a complex analysis, comparing a number of potential yield predictors to the yield stability zone maps. These yield predictors ranged from elevation and topographical wetness index (TWI) to soil fertility variables like pH, organic matter, and nutrient content (P and K). A high TWI means there is a higher likelihood for an area to collect water from upslope.

“Grid-based soil fertility measurements, combined with field topography features, provided strong spatial information in developing our machine learning model,” said Marcaida.

They found that TWI and elevation were much stronger predictors than nutrient content. Managing soil fertility remains crucial, but in these fields, nutrient content was generally sufficient for the crops. This means that TWI was the next in line to be a limiting factor. 

In other words, when the soil was optimally fertilized, water availability (whether that be a surplus or lack of water) became the leading driver of yield stability. These findings highlight the importance of building soil health, enhancing the soil’s ability to hold on to and drain water and implementing tile drainage where excess water is limiting yield. 

Read more about the details of this research in the What's Cropping Up? blog post.

Madeline Hanscom ‘22 is the communications assistant for Cornell CALS’ Nutrient Management Spear Program (NMSP).

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