Patrick Sullivan

• Ph. D. University of Washington, Biostatistics/Biomathematics, 1988
  • Dissertation: A Kalman Filter Approach to Catch at Size Analysis.
• M.S. University of Washington, Fisheries Biology, 1985
  • Dissertation: The Effect of Spatial Heterogeneity on Predator-Prey Interactions: A Theoretical Analysis Using Mathematical and Computer Simulation Techniques.
• B.S. University of California at Davis, Biology, 1978

Prof. Sullivan’s research seeks to find a new and better understanding about what drives the spatial and temporal dynamics of natural populations and communities and how they respond to anthropogenic influences. To do this he focuses on nonlinear dynamics in these systems that can be used to tease out and identify important factors and processes that define these systems more generally. In addition to this he has an interest in and tries to contribute to other research areas including the practical issues surrounding survey design and analysis, database management, and fisheries stock assessment as well as some more philosophical issues such as identifying what is the nature of good science, determining better ways for communicating and utilizing science and statistics, and clarifying scientific responsibility in issues of governance.

Selected Publications

• Morano, J. L., J. T. Tielens, C. A. Muirhead, B. J. Estabrook, P. J. Sullivan, P. J. Dugan, C. W. Clark, and A. N. Rice. (2020). Seasonal movements of Gulf of Mexico sperm whales following the Deepwater Horizon oil spill and the limitations of impact assessments. Marine Pollution Bulletin 161 (2020): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111627
• Watkins, L., P. J. Sullivan, and M. T. Walter. (2019). A case study investigating temporal factors that influence microplastic concentration in streams under different treatment regimes. Environmental Science and Pollution Research 26 (21):21797-21807
• Miller, T. J., C. M. Jones, C. Hanson, S. Heppell, O. Jensen, P. Livingston, K. Lorenzen, K. Mills, W. Patterson, P. Sullivan, R. Wong. (2018). Scientific Considerations Informing Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act Reauthorization. Fisheries. 43. 533-541. 10.1002/fsh.10179.
• Kaplan, K. A., D. R. Hart, K. Hopkins, S. Gallager, A. York, R. Taylor and P. J. Sullivan. (2018). Invasive tunicate restructures invertebrate community on fishing grounds and a large protected area on Georges Bank. Biological Invasions 20(1):87-103.
• Peach, M. A., J. B. Cohen, J. L. Frair, B. Zuckerberg, P. Sullivan, W. F. Porter, and C. Lang. (2018). Value of protected areas to avian persistence across 20 years of climate and land-use change. Conservation Biology 33(2): 423-433 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13205.
• Sullivan, P. J., and L. G. Rudstam. (2016). Quantifying acoustic survey uncertainty using Bayesian hierarchical modeling with an application to assessing Mysis relicta population densities in Lake Ontario. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 73(8):2104-2111. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsw080.
• National Research Council, Parma, A. & Sullivan, P. J. (Co-chairs), Collie, J., Hartley T. W., Heyman W., Johnston R.,  Punt A. E., Rose K .A., Sanchirico J., Sissenwine M. P., & Sugihara G. (2013) Evaluating the Effectiveness of Stock Rebuilding Plans of the 2006 Fishery Conservation and Management Reauthorization Act. The National Academies Press. 282 pp.

2013 College of Agriculture and Life Sciences’ Research and Extension Award for Outstanding Accomplishments in Science and Public Policy.

• STSCI 2200, Biological Statistics I, (2003-2015)
• STSCI 3200, Biological Statistics II (2004-2016)
• NTRES 4110/6110, Quant Ecology and Mgmt of Fisheries Resources, (1999-2019, odd years)
• NTRES 6700, Spatial Statistics, (2000-2020, even years)