Flavio Lehner
Assistant Professor, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

Biography
Flavio Lehner obtained a PhD in Climate Science from the University of Bern in Switzerland in 2013. After a brief engagement as Science Officer in the Technical Support Unit for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, he joined the Climate and Global Dynamics Lab at NCAR with a fellowship from the Swiss National Science Foundation in 2014. Being awarded a NOAA postdoc fellowship, he continued on in NCAR’s Research Applications Lab. He then transitioned to a Project Scientist position at NCAR, leading and co-leading projects across NCAR labs. For the past year Flavio has been working as a Senior Scientist at ETH Zürich in Switzerland, before joining Cornell as an Assistant Professor in fall of 2020.
Research Interests
Dr. Lehner’s research investigates the influence of internal and externally-forced variability on our ability to understand and project climate change on global to regional scales. It aims to improve our understanding of the dynamics that govern this variability and hence the uncertainties involved in climate projections.
He is interested in questions such as: Why are climate projections uncertain? Can we reduce this uncertainty by improving models through dissection and better understanding of the physical processes involved? What are the dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to regional changes in temperature and precipitation and its associated impacts such as heatwaves, droughts and compounded extreme events? How do ongoing and projected changes impact society, ecosystems and natural resources that humans depend on?
His toolbox includes analysis of coupled climate, atmosphere-only, and hydrologic model simulations, climate reconstructions, and observations. His motivation to solve not only disciplinary but also interdisciplinary problems has led to a broad set of applications from paleoclimate reconstructions to hydroclimate impact studies, allowing him to build an extensive network of collaborators at the intersection of fundamental science and applications.
Education
- PhD (Climate Science), University of Bern, Switzerland, 2013
- Msc (Climate Science), University of Bern, Switzerland, 2009
- Bsc (Geography/Climatology), University of Basel, Switzerland, 2007
Recent Research
- Lehner, F., C. Deser, N. Maher, J. Marotzke, E. Fischer, L. Brunner, R. Knutti, E. Hawkins (2020): Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6. Earth System Dynamics
- Lehner, F., A. W. Wood, J. A. Vano, D. M. Lawrence, M. P. Clark, J. S. Mankin (2019): The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models. Nature Climate Change
- Lehner, F., S. Coats, T. F. Stocker, B. M. Sanderson, A. G. Pendergrass, C. C. Raible, J. E. Smerdon (2017): Projected drought risk in 1.5°C and 2°C warmer climates. Geophysical Research Letters
- Lehner, F., C. Deser, L. Terray (2017): Towards a new estimate of “time of emergence” of anthropogenic warming: insights from dynamical adjustment and a large initial-condition model ensemble. Journal of Climate
Awards & Honors
- 2019 US CLIVAR Early Career Scientist Leadership Award
- 2016 NOAA Postdoc Applying Climate Expertise (PACE) Fellowship
- 2014 Swiss National Science Foundation Early Postdoc Mobility Fellowship
- 2013 WMO Research Award for Young Scientists
Courses Taught
- EAS 2900 - Introduction to Programming for Meteorology and Climate Science
- EAS 2680 - Climate and Global Warming
Contact Information
3142 Snee Hall
Ithaca, NY 14853
flavio.lehner [at] cornell.edu
Additional Links
Flavio in the news

News
To prepare for extreme heat waves around the world, running climate-simulation models that include a new, efficient computing concept may save tens of thousands of lives.
- Cornell Atkinson
- Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
- Climate Change

News
Water resources will fluctuate increasingly and become more and more difficult to predict in snow-dominated regions across the Northern Hemisphere by later this century, according to a new study.
- Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
- Climate Change
- Environment